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2080's

Low emissions scenario

The wider range is from the lowest to highest value for all emissions scenarios and three (10, 50, and 90%) probability levels for each 30-year time period.

  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in winter mean temperature is 2.4ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.3ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 3.6ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.3ºC to 4.9ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in summer mean temperature is 2.8ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.3ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 4.6ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.3ºC to 7.3ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in summer mean daily maximum temperature is 3.6ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 0.9ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 6.5ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 0.9ºC to 10ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in summer mean daily minimum temperature is 2.7ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.1ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 4.9ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.1ºC to 7.8ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of change in annual mean precipitation is 0%; it is very unlikely to be less than -5% and is very unlikely to be more than 6%. A wider range of uncertainty is from -6% to 8%.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of change in winter mean precipitation is 12%; it is very unlikely to be less than 1% and is very unlikely to be more than 26%. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1% to 41%.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of change in summer mean precipitation is -13%; it is very unlikely to be less than -29% and is very unlikely to be more than 3%. A wider range of uncertainty is from -43% to 3%.


Map of the UK showing North East region