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2080's

Low emissions scenario

The wider range is from the lowest to highest value for all emissions scenarios and three (10, 50, and 90%) probability levels for each 30-year time period.

  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in winter mean temperature is 2.5ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.4ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 3.7ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.4ºC to 5.2ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in summer mean temperature is 2.8ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.3ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 4.7ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.3ºC to 7.5ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in summer mean daily maximum temperature is 3.9ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.2ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 7.3ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.2ºC to 11.3ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of increase in summer mean daily minimum temperature is 3ºC; it is very unlikely to be less than 1.1ºC and is very unlikely to be more than 5.3ºC. A wider range of uncertainty is from 1.1ºC to 8.4ºC.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of change in annual mean precipitation is 2%; it is very unlikely to be less than -3% and is very unlikely to be more than 7%. A wider range of uncertainty is from -7% to 9%.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of change in winter mean precipitation is 14%; it is very unlikely to be less than 3% and is very unlikely to be more than 30%. A wider range of uncertainty is from 3% to 50%.
  • Under low emissions, the central estimate of change in summer mean precipitation is -13%; it is very unlikely to be less than -35% and is very unlikely to be more than 11%. A wider range of uncertainty is from -52% to 11%.


Map of the UK showing West Midlands region